Crypto
These Two On-Chain Signals Precede Bitcoin Falls, Suggests Analyst

An analyst has suggested that two on-chain signals may be used to predict Bitcoin falls as they seem to have historically preceded drops in the crypto’s price.
Bitcoin Selling Of 7yrs-10yrs Old Coins Spiked Up Recently
As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, BTC dumping of coins aged between 7 years to 10 years and ETH dominance rising up can be two signs to look for before falls in the coin’s value.
The first indicator of relevance here is the “Spent Output Age Bands,” which checks for on-chain movement of coins and tells us which age groups were responsible for them.
The different “coin age groups” in the market include coins based on the total amount of time they were sitting idle for before being moved or sold.
The group in question here is the “7 years to 10 years old” cohort. The Spent Output chart for this group, therefore, shows how many coins were moved that were previously sitting idle for periods in this range. Here is the graph for it:
The value of the metric seems to have spiked up in recent days | Source: CryptoQuant
As you can see in the chart, the quant has marked the relevant points of trend for this Bitcoin indicator as well as the corresponding BTC price.
The analyst explains that whenever the spending of the 7 years to 10 years age band exceeds 5000, BTC usually observes a downtrend in its value.
Out of the 7 times the signal was seen during the last few years, only once did the price not register a plunge down.
Ethereum Dominance Was Also Elevated In Recent Weeks
The other indicator that the analyst believes to be of note is the “ETH dominance,” which is a measure of the total crypto market cap percentage share for Ethereum.
The below chart shows the trend in this metric over the last few years.
Looks like the value of the metric has been high recently | Source: CryptoQuant
It seems the Ethereum dominance exceeding the 20% mark has also been a bearish sign for Bitcoin during this period.
In conclusion, the analyst suggests that proper use of these two indicators in conjunction may help investors prepare for downtrends in the future.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats around $18.7k, down 16% in the last seven days. Over the last month, the crypto has lost 18% in value.
The below chart shows the trend in the price of the coin over the last five days.
BTC’s value has plunged down over the last day | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView
Featured image from Bastian Riccardi on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com
Crypto
Parts of Twitter Source Code Leaked Online
Coinspeaker
Parts of Twitter Source Code Leaked Online
As per a legal court filing, some parts of Twitter’s source code have been leaked as Elon Musk‘s Twitter is now seeking information about the responsible person.
Last week on March 24, Twitter issued a subpoena to the software collaboration platform GitHub for a user identified as “FreeSpeechEnthusiast”. The user had reportedly shared excerpts of Twitter’s source code without permission. In the court documents, the Twitter counsel said that the purpose of this subpoena was to identify the users responsible for sharing this source code.
As a result, social media company Twitter asked the US District Court for the Northern District of California to order GitHub to produce all information of the “FreeSpeechEnthusiast” user. GitHub hasn’t commented on this matter yet.
However, the Microsoft-owned platform complied with Twitter’s request of removing the source code last Friday. A GitHub spokesperson also told CNBC that the company shares all DMCA takedowns publicly. This specifically occurs when a copyright holder requests the removal of content from a website.
As per the DMCA request shared by GitHub, the company removed “proprietary source code for Twitter’s platform and internal tools”. GitHub hasn’t said whether any of its users were able to access the repository before they took it down. As per an internal investigation by Twitter, people who were responsible for the leak left the company last year.
Twitter to Open Source Its Code
Last week, Twitter chief Elon Musk announced that the company has planned to open source its code on March 31st. In his tweet last week on March 18, Musk wrote:
Our “algorithm” is overly complex & not fully understood internally. People will discover many silly things , but we’ll patch issues as soon as they’re found! We’re developing a simplified approach to serve more compelling tweets, but it’s still a work in progress. That’ll also be open source. Providing code transparency will be incredibly embarrassing at first, but it should lead to rapid improvement in recommendation quality. Most importantly, we hope to earn your trust.
Elon Musk has been working actively ever since he acquired Twitter in October 2022 to make the company profitable. For this, the billionaire took some radical steps such as introducing mass layoffs, relaunching a new verification program with a Twitter subscription, etc. During one of the recent conferences, Elon Musk mentioned how poorly monetized is the Twitter platform.
“Every single day on, average, which is – I think it comes to a really interesting point which is to – just it’s startling how poorly monetized that is – because you have to say like how valuable is that attention 100 to 130 million hours of human attention per day of people that read – so these are the generally the smartest people in the world, the most influential people in the world,” he said.
Crypto
Binance.US Acquisition of Voyager Digital Halted by Federal Judge
Coinspeaker
Binance.US Acquisition of Voyager Digital Halted by Federal Judge
Judge Jennifer Rearden, a new Federal Judge for the US District Court in New York has temporarily halted the proposed sale of Voyager Digital to Binance.US. According to the judgment passed, the proposed $1 billion sale will now only be concluded once a decision has been made concerning the final details of the bankruptcy proceedings.
The decision to suspend the completion of the acquisition was granted to give the government ample time to prepare for the appeal of the judgment passed by Judge Michael Wiles back on March 7. In her own words featuring the order passed, Judge Rearden declared saying:
“Upon consideration of all parties’ written submissions, as well as the conferences and oral argument held in this matter, the Government’s emergency motion is hereby GRANTED.”
According to the Judge, a detailed opinion on why she took the position will be published at a later date and industry participants are already expectant of the insights that will be gleaned from the message.
Voyager Digital filed for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy back in July last year and the firm has been very proactive in the search of solutions that will help it refund both its secured and unsecured creditors. Among the solutions explored was a sale to FTX Derivatives Exchange, a move that tanked when the trading platform also hit the rocks in the fourth quarter of last year.
The restructuring plans to sell its assets was revealed in a court filing in February with about 97% of 61,300 creditors backing the deal. The next best alternative found in Binance.US has always been opposed by the government. If allowed to pass, the Voyager Digital customers will be receiving back as much as 73% of their assets locked on the platform.
Opposition to the Binance.US and Voyager Digital Deal
Since the time of the auction and the bidding process, US regulators have expressed a lack of confidence in the sale of the company to Binance. The position of the Department of Justice was that selling Voyager Digital to Binance.US will foster fraud, theft, or evasion of taxes.
While Judge Wiles disagreed with the assessment of the regulators when he passed his first ruling, the latest position of Judge Rearden will grant ample time to prove its case and possibly get the decision upturned.
While it is assumed unconnected, the recent crackdown and lawsuit slammed on Binance by the United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) for violating American derivatives law might also complicate the entire sale proceedings. There is notably a high level of uncertainty surrounding Binance as a business and a crypto trading outfit and Voyager Digital might want to desist from anything that will further complicate its restructuring plans moving forward.
The Voyager Committee of Unsecured Creditors says it will continue to oppose the government in its attempt to frustrate the deal.
Binance.US Acquisition of Voyager Digital Halted by Federal Judge
Crypto
UK Government Suspends Plans to Launch State-Owned NFT
Coinspeaker
UK Government Suspends Plans to Launch State-Owned NFT
The UK Treasury Department has revealed it will no longer be going forward with its initial plans of launching a non-fungible token. According to an April 2022 proposal, which was put forward by then Chancellor of the Exchequer and current prime minister Rishi Sunak, the plans were part of a broader effort to make the UK a global crypto hub. At the time, Coinspeaker also reported that the British government was working on bringing stablecoins within its regulatory framework. This was to ensure that stablecoins may be used as a form of payment.
However, new updates can confirm that the Royal Mint will not be pursuing the said plans any further at this moment. Nonetheless, the proposal will remain under review, according to Treasury minister Andrew Griffith.
Economic Reasons Underlie Decision of UK Treasury Department
In a statement about reasons why the NFT plans appear to have come to a sudden halt, Chair of the Treasury Select Committee Harriet Baldwin cited the economic uncertainty across the cryptocurrency sector. According to a BBC report, Baldwin believes that the economic environment has played a major role in shutting down the NFT collection launch. And while the decision has been jointly made by the Royal Mint and the UK Treasury Department, the government will seek to establish whether issuing an NFT remains a reasonable cause. Baldwin said:
“We have not yet seen a lot of evidence that our constituents should be putting their money in these speculative tokens unless they are prepared to lose all their money.”
Meanwhile, it might be worth noting that UK’s recent decision has made it a horse of different color. The decision comes at a time when other nations are beginning to align with NFTs and other Web3 technologies. One such country is Japan. In October, the East Asian country announced plans to invest in its digital transformation through NFTs and metaverse services. China also followed suit in January by launching an NFT and digital asset marketplace. China’s move was particularly impressive given the strict crypto regulations that are in place in the country.
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